Following Up a Continuation Bet (Part 2)
Having seen our continuation bet called on the flop, it can be problematic choosing the best path when the Turn card arrives. In Part 1 we touched on instances in which no further investment tends to be the appropriate play. This will save money when betting isn’t justified, but should be a decision based on the circumstances and the key factors specific to that hand, rather than the fear of losing. Too easily putting the brakes on after a continuation bet doesn’t take down the pot runs the risk of making us predictable and, consequently, vulnerable to a steal from those players who have picked up on such a weakness, as well as aggressive players.
Fortunately, instead of slamming on the brakes we will have opportunities to press down further on the accelerator pedal. And we don’t need to have hit to bet. Scare cards are thus named for a reason, and we need to learn to evaluate how the Turn might change the ‘strength’ of an opponent’s hand. A typical holding with which to apply the Continuation Bet strategy is AK, for example, which has the advantage of offering us the ‘luxury’ of equity on many boards in the shape of two overcards. It’s important to keep in mind that, when we’re not sitting with a hand like AK, the opposition is none the wiser. From their perspective our aggressive play is likely to represent either a made hand or a holding containing a couple of overcards. Consequently, on an unco-ordinated board such as Jd 7h 2c, we can pretty confidently bet when the Turn brings the Ks, for example. Overcards are good! Putting ourselves in our opponents shoes, after calling initially with, say, Jc Ts and hitting and subsequently calling our continuation bet, not only will the king be an unwelcome visitor, but the third consecutive bet that follows it gives the hand a new dynamic. It’s absolutely not unlikely that we could be on AK and, with another bet threatening to follow on the river, staying around – and paying heavily for the privilege – with JT no longer appears to be a decent prospect. Betting a scare card on the Turn in the shape of an overcard is always going to give us a chance of taking the pot, although in terms of our perceived range, the higher the better. Note that by adhering to this continuation bet/second barrel strategy means also betting when we do connect with the Turn – betting when we miss and checking when we hit is a leak we’d better avoid.
Good luck at the tables!
Angus Dunnington (AngusD at the 32Red Poker tables)
32Red Poker Ambassador